Overview on The Rise of the Rest Decline of the West
Overview: What Fate for Liberal Order in a PostWestern World?
The economies around the world are currently changing. It is believed that in 2030 Brazil, Russia, India, and China will also be world leaders. China in particular has nearly doubled in its trade while the U.S has declined. In the future the global powers will be no longer one or two but a group.
There are three possible scenarios that can happen when these rising countries gain power. Great Power
Convergence which is similar to the “fusion” world, in this case major powers would work together and come to an agreement to enforce and set globally accepted rules. In the Reverse Engines scenario the international system would have many powerful countries. These countries would try to work together but because of the predominate power of the United States a leadership role from any other country would be hard to convey. This would calls issues and an inability to work together. In Multipolar Divergence scenario the US would continue to maintain global influence and would seek the help of old allies Europe and old allies Asia to make decisions.
The World in 2030: Are we on path to Convergence or divergence?
The Rise of the Rest; Decline of the West?
Many rising countries besides BRIC include Mexico, Indonesia, and Vietnam, the writer expresses that cultural differences and personal goals can affect the decisions of those involved in growing economies.
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