In the economy inflation relates to the rise in the level of prices of goods and services during a period of time. When the prices of good rises in a market economy each unit of currency would buy fewer good and services than before. The power of inflation creates a decrease in the purchasing power of money. The inflation can be measure by the inflation rate the change in the price index during a period of time. Inflation can perceived as a negative or positive effect for the economy. Positive would be the adjustment of banks interest rates and encouraging investment. Negative effects of inflation could be discouraging future investments, the increase of opportunity cost. Inflation may be caused be one of the following aspects of the economy: Money supply, this in caused when the Federal Reserve decides to put more money into circulation at a higher rate than the economic growth. National debt, the government will have to raise taxes or print more money to pay the debt.
Research In article called “Does inflation uncertainty increase with inflation?” by Golob, John states that inflation in followed by an uncertainty of the future of further increase of inflation that may render the decision of consumers and business. “One of the most important costs of inflation is the uncertainty it creates about future inflation. This uncertainty clouds the decision making of consumers and businesses and reduces economic well-being. Without this uncertainty, consumers and businesses could better plan for the future. According to many analysts, uncertainty about future inflation rises as inflation rises. As a result, these analysts argue that the Federal Reserve could reduce inflation uncertainty by reducing inflation” (Golob). Other analysts argue that high inflation or low inflation creates no uncertainty as long as the inflation remains stable. Another important article examines how commodities prices and inflation are linked. The inflation is strongly related to commodity prices such as crude-oil and analyst state that inflation can be predicted when the demand of such commodity is increased. The article by Furlong, Fred; Ingenito, Roberto says that “The strongest case for commodity prices as indicators of future inflation is that they are quick to respond to economy-wide shocks to demand. Commodity prices generally are set in highly competitive auction markets and consequently tend to be more flexible than prices overall. As a result, movements in commodity prices would be expected to lead and be positively related to changes in aggregate price inflation in response to aggregate demand shocks”( Furlong; Ingenito).
Real World Example A real world example was studied by Fortune magazine and written in an article called “What a new inflation measure would mean for your wallet “ which states how the government uses Consumer Price Index to measure the price index, which tracks a broad basket of consumer goods. When inflation hits and
Differentiate between Rational and Adaptive Expectations and clearly explain their role in focusing on future macro-economic variables 1. Rational Expectations The theory of rational expectations was first proposed by John F. Muth of Indiana University in the early 1960s. He used the term to describe the many economic situations in which the outcome depends partly on what people expect to happen. Rational expectations theory is an assumption in a model that the agent under study uses a forecasting…
exact opposite of compounding Compounding: Sum of $ (PV) interest rate (r), duration future value (FV) Present Value*(1 + interest rate) = Future Value PV(1+r) = FV1 Solving for PV: PV = FV1/(1+r) To arrive at the present value of the future sum, we discount it (i.e., divide by (1+r)) This can be extended to many periods. For two periods: Value after one year gets interest giving the future value after two years: [PV(1+r)]*(1+r) = FV2 PV(1+r)2 = FV2 Solving for PV: PV= FV2/(1+r)2…
downonly important stories **Impact on US dollar -National events -Policy -Macroeconomics **Pay attention to people in news: not CEO’s or analysts Growth & Inflation=statistics of the strength of an economy Urate: growth produces jobs Healthy economy=growth + jobs Nonfarm payroll breakeven=200,000 GDP: growth & productivity Inflation: Growth: output of goods and services produced by labor & property located in the domestic US Employment: job growth Income Why can high growth be bad? We want high…
Commerce Exam – Essay Q/Define the term “Inflation” and discuss its economic effects and also outline the role of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Federal Govt in trying to control inflation. Inflation One of the most important economic concepts is inflation. At its most basic level, inflation is simply a rise in prices. Over time, it increases the costs of goods and services and due to that the value of a dollar goes down because you are not able to purchase as much with that dollar…
Presentation #2 Chapter 8 1) According to Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), relatively high local inflation will increase imports, decrease exports, and the local currency should depreciate by same degree as inflation differential. If Thailand’s inflation is high, the revenue and costs of Blades will decrease, however the net effect will be negative because the company revenue portion coming from Thailand is larger than its cost portion. Also, since Blades is locked into a fixed price contract…
currency, try to make money from the forecasts. Firstly, I would like to try forecasts the future spot rate for US dollar against Australian dollar. The determination for exchange rates is complex. Inflation rate in Australia is expected to be consistent with 2-3 per cent over the next two years, and the interest rate is leave the 2.5 per cent unchanged. (Reserve bank of Australia, 2014) However the inflation in the US is running below the 2 per cent, and the interest rate is maintain to 0-0.25 per…
Repurchase agreements are that an agreement with a commitment by the seller or dealer to buy a security backs from the customer at a specified rice at a designated future date. It represents a collateralized short-term loan for which, where the collateral may be a Treasury security, money market instrument, federal agency security, or mortgage security. From the customer’s perspective, the deal is reported as a reverse…
Department of Management Studies School of Business U. C. C 3/18/15 Abraham Ansong 1 Money The Barter system Limitation of the Barter Economy Definition of Money Characteristics of money Types of Money Functions of Money The concept of Inflation and Financial Assets 3/18/15 Abraham Ansong 2 Barter System At the beginning of civilization, money did not exist and people traded without the use of money Without money, people had to swap or ‘barter’ in order to obtain the things they…
1. Direct and Indirect Signals/Retail Sales A key aspect of economics is the collection and analysis of the vast amounts of data generated throughout global economies. The interpretation of this data can provide important signals for the future direction of the economy. There are two forms of signals that arise from the various economic data that is collected. The first are direct signals, which measure the movement in what is being measured. These usually take the form of a given macro…
prospects of the capsize dry bulk industry can be classified as under: 1 Technology advancement that will meet the change in prices occurring due to the phase of increasing inflation. 2 On the basis of Demand and Supply: Due to increasing globalization the demand for goods and services will also increase and hence the future growth of the company probable good. 3 On the basis of investment: The investment cost in the further development of the firm that is going with new ship investment would involve…