Executive Summary
House prices in England are among the highest in the world in relation to income. Conversely, houses in England tend to be smaller than mainland Europe, even though families tend to be larger (2.4 versus 2.3 in the Netherlands and 2.2 in Germany, (UN Economic Commission for Europe 2001)). This means that England is facing a potential housing affordability crisis.
Table of Contents
Page number
1. Introduction 4
2. Factors Affecting House Prices 5
2.1 Construction 5
2.2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 6
2.3 Interest Rates 7
2.4 Commuting 7 3. Future Price and Affordability Forecasts 9 4. Conclusion 15
1 Introduction
The report aims to discuss the factors contributing to the increasing house prices in Sudbury. The UK saw a large price increase of 8.5% in 2014 (Lambert 2014), with my own town Sudbury enjoying a 9.96% increase (Zoopla 2015) and the aim is to provide a comprehensive review regarding the factors that contribute to this above average increase.
2 Factors Affecting House Prices
There exist numerous factors affecting house prices in my area which combine to give an above national price rise, many of these factors are the same factors that have affected the whole country. Barker (2004) added to this by stating that, unlike demand, housing supply is fixed in the short term. Therefore UK house prices can be said to be initially affected by demand and expressed as a function of the physical housing stock, real income and other demand shifters such as interest rate, GDP, and unemployment (Kuenzel & Bjornbak, 2008).
2.1 Construction
Recent Government figures illustrate that to keep up with the rising population of Britain that 250,000 new homes are required every year (Barker 2004). Data from Savills estate agents put the latest house building figures at only around 138,000 meaning that supply simply cannot cope with demand. Supply tends to be fixed in the short run due to the time needed to build the houses, therefore if housing supply is inelastic, then increasing demand leads to increasing prices. Demand in the short run affects prices more than supply and is linked to income and expectations. Long run demand, however, is more closely linked to demographic factors.
The UK planning system is widely viewed as inflexible, not only in allocation of land for building but also in mechanisms for granting permission for building (Barker 2004). Interestingly, there have been numerous studies in the US which point to strong links between regulatory barriers to reducing house supply elasticity (Green et al 2005).
This national problem extends to the area I reside as a recent brownfield site conversion for 121 new homes (35% allocated as affordable) was rejected in favour for a new Sainsbury superstore. A quote from Sudbury town councillor Nicki Dixon:
“It’s all very well to keep building all these homes in Sudbury but we need the extra infrastructure. We need more doctors surgeries, school, places and.... jobs and investment in the town.”
Difficulties in gaining planning permission result in fewer houses being built, therefore supply decreases and demand increases. As this pattern develops house prices inevitably rise which is compounded with the national shortage of materials and specialist skills.
2.2 Gross Domestic Product
Recent studies have shown that GDP ranks as one of the most influential factors for house price drivers (Egert & Mihaljek 2007). The global financial meltdown of 2008 saw house prices fall sharply due to their direct link with GDP and current economic conditions (Adair et all 2009), illustrated below (Lambert 2014):
This shows that house prices and GDP generally coincide, and the cyclical nature is a direct result of interest rates and debt accruals during boom periods. The lead-lag
Assignment 6.1: Making a "Good News" Phone Call Dontay L. Fortune December 10, 2014 Jones International University BC355: Business Communication Contexts Dear Customer Service Team, As an associate for Ashton Consulting, I will be developing upgraded guidelines based on “good news” phone calls for the Rocky Mountain Credit System. Furthermore, I will begin by helping the RMCS customer service team use their phones to turn a customer complaint into a “good news” situation. To begin,…
ACC 363 Week 1 Discussion Question 1 comprises: Many of you have probably heard that a new car "depreciates" or loses value as soon as you drive it off the lot. While this is what most people call "depreciation", it has a completely different meaning in accounting. In accounting, what is depreciation? General Questions - General General Questions ACC 363 Week 1 Assignments From the Readings ACC 363 Week 2 Assignments From the Readings ACC 363 Week 3 Assignments From the Readings…
08/11/2014 Assignment 302 - Research Paper by Kezza125 The document you uploaded was removed. To view all 500,000 documents please upgrade your account or see 6,000 by uploading a new document. Search thousands of free essays... Search MY ACCOUNT HELP CONTACT Assignment 302 Essay Upgrade Your Account Below is a free essay on "Assignment 302" from Anti Essays, your source for free research papers, essays, and term paper examples. This is a Premium essay for upgraded members. Please upgrade…
some sequential searches for his company. We are going to assume a very basic view of his roster. First, let us define a class for a security Assignment called Assignment: public class Assignment { // instance variables private String time; private String location; private String person; /** * Constructor for objects of class Assignment */ public Assignment(String t, String l, String p) { // initialise instance variables time = t; location = l; person = p; } public void setTime(String t) { time =…
SOC 300 Week 9 Assignment 2 Lending Institutions, Health Care, and Human Capital https://homeworklance.com/downloads/soc-300-week-9-assignment-2-lending-institutions-health-care-and-human-capital/ To Get this Tutorial Copy & Paste above URL Into Your Browser Hit Us Email for Any Inquiry at: Lancehomework@gmail.com Visit our Site for More Tutorials: ( http://homeworklance.com/ ) SOC 300 Week 9 Assignment 2 Lending Institutions, Health Care, and Human Capital Assignment 2: Lending Institutions…
DIPLOMA IN BUSINESS (Advanced) - LEVEL 7 Human Resource Management & Development – HR701 August 2013 Intake Lecturer – Armin Wartanian Individual Assignment – Case Study (Assessment 1) (40 Marks) (20%) Issue Date: Wednesday, 14 August 2013 Hand in Date: Thursday, 29 August 2013 Learning Outcomes Assessed: ●Learning Outcome 1: Identify employment obligations and responsibilities. ●Learning Outcome 2: Assess human resource requirements and evaluate human resource management options…
Complete Course Click below link for Answer Visit www.workbank247.com http://workbank247.com/q/cis-517-complete-course-cis517-complete-course-cis/11277 http://workbank247.com/q/cis-517-complete-course-cis517-complete-course-cis/11277 CIS 517 Week 1 Discussion Click the link above to respond to the discussion. If you need help with completing discussions please click here for more information. "The Triple Constraint of Project Management" * Briefly explain in your own words the relationship…
1/13 M Introduction Chapter 1: Politics, Democracy, and the American People 1/15 W Chapter 2: From Colonialism to Constitutionalism (Editorial #1) Be prepared to discuss all editorials when they are due. 1/20 M NO CLASS MLK holiday: Complete the following assignment Read the U.S. Constitution online and begin assignment. Constitution assignment due on 1/22 and will be discussed. 1/22 W Chapter 3: The Federal System 1/27 M Constitutional Principles and Powers (Editorial…
BUS 310 Complete Course Click below link for Answer visit www.workbank247.com http://workbank247.com/q/bus310-bus-310-complete-course/11612 http://workbank247.com/q/bus310-bus-310-complete-course/11612 BUS 310 Week 1 Discussion Please respond to the following: * The goal of HRM is to maximize the productivity of an organization by optimizing the effectiveness of employees while simultaneously improving the work life of employees and treating them as valuable resources. What do you believe…
This work of CJA 374 Week 2 Discussion Questions and Summary consists of: DQ 1: Do police have too little or too much discretion in their decisions on how to handle specific situations involving juveniles? Include examples and explain your response. DQ 2: Among the principle figures, including family, church, schools, police, and youth organizations, who has the most important role in the prevention of delinquency? Discuss each and explain your choice of most important. DQ 3: Discuss…